Research

A bounded public research surface.

PTEM maintains a public research surface to support external review of observable measurement behavior under reproducible conditions.

The public research layer is intentionally bounded. It documents reproducible temporal-organization behavior without disclosing governed internal mechanics.

Public artifacts describe a consistent relationship between persistent temporal-coherence regimes and elevated rapid-intensification occurrence under forward-only replay conditions. This is descriptive and observational, not a forecast claim.

Mental model

From public signal to governed conditioning

Public diagnostic

A minimal, reproducible proxy for observable temporal organization.

Governed instrument

A richer structural measurement and conditioning architecture used under evaluation access.

The public layer is an audit-safe lower-bound surface. It is not the full PTEM system. Product concepts such as Phase Atlas, PAC, and Capital Impact are described publicly only at a high level.

Artifacts

Public research artifacts

Public artifacts support reproducibility, outside review, and clear separation between observable behavior and protected instrument mechanics.

EarthArXiv preprint

Public manuscript describing a minimal reproducible diagnostic and its observed relationship to rapid intensification occurrence in the Atlantic record.

Zenodo reproducibility repository

Open materials supporting deterministic reproduction of the public diagnostic under fixed public constraints.

Public climatology

Tier-1 Persistence Capacity Surface

PTEM maintains a public, audit-safe surface for structural availability across the Atlantic historical record. It covers 1851-2024 and 1,991 storms under forward-only construction.

The surface describes annual regime-occupancy behavior: when sustained temporal organization is sparse, variable, or absent. Storm count alone does not determine structural availability.

This public layer is a descriptive baseline. It is not a forecast, not a full instrument disclosure, and not a substitute for governed evaluation access.

Boundary

Exposure boundary

Public research supports reproducible review of observable results and measurement posture. Governed instrument construction, protected evaluation materials, and proprietary mechanics remain outside the public surface.

Validation methodology and governance posture are summarized in Validation. Cross-basin portability is summarized in Transfer Diagnostics.